67th IHC Presentations

Session 1: The 2013 Tropical Cyclone Season in Review
Session Leader Jim McFadden (NOAA/AOC)
(S1-01)	Review of the 2013 Central Pacific Tropical Cyclone Season and Preliminary Verification	Tom Evans (NWS/CPHC)
(S1-02)	A Review of the 2013 Joint Typhoon Warning Center Tropical Cyclone Season	Robert J. Falvey (JTWC)
(S1-03)	53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron/AFRC 2013 Hurricane Season Summary	Lt Col Jonathan Talbot (53 WRS)
(S1-04)	NOAA Aircraft Operations Center (AOC) 2013 Seasonal Summary and Future Plans	Jim McFadden, Alan S. Goldstein, Devin R. Brakobb (NOAA/AOC)

Session 2: Transitioning Research to Operations
Session Leaders Christopher Landsea (NOAA/NHC) and Shirley Murillo (NOAA/AOML)
(S2-01)	An Update on the Joint Hurricane Testbed (JHT)	Christopher Landsea (NOAA/NHC) and Shirley Murillo (NOAA/AOML)
(S2-02)	Improvement to the Satellite-based 37 GHz Ring Rapid Intensification Index	Haiyan Jiang, Margie Kieper, Yongxian Pei (Florida Intl Univ), and John Kaplan (NOAA/AOML)
(S2-03)	Predicting Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecast Error	Kieran T. Bhatia, David S. Nolan (Univ. of Miami/RSMAS), and Andrea B. Schumacher (CSU/CIRA)
(S2-04)	Upgrades to the Operational Monte Carlo Wind Speed Probability Program: A Year 1 Joint Hurricane Testbed Project Update	Andrea Schumacher (CSU/CIRA) and Mark DeMaria (NOAA/NHC)
(S2-05)	Optimized Multi-Sensor Application in the ARCHER Automated TC Center-Fixing Algorithm	Anthony Wimmers and Christopher S. Velden (Univ. of Wisc./CIMSS)
(S2-06)	Upgrades to the GFDL/GFDN Operational Hurricane Model for 2014	Morris A. Bender, Matthew Morin, and Timothy Marchok (NOAA/GFDL); Isaac Ginis, Biju Thomas, and Richard Yablonsky (Univ. of Rhode Island); and Robert Tuleya (Old Dominion Univ)
(S2-07)	Improving HWRF and GFDL/GFDN Hurricane Models by Advancing the Air-Sea Interaction Components	Isaac Ginis, Richard Yablonsky, and Biju Thomas (University of Rhode Island); Morris Bender (NOAA/GDFL); and Vijay Tallapragada (NOAA/NCEP)
(S2-08)	Verifying Historical Forecasts and Developing a Statistical Model from NWP Output	Daniel Halperin, Robert Hart, Henry Fuelberg, and Joshua Cossuth (Florida State Univ.)
(S2-09)	AdcircViz: A Visualization and Analysis Application for Distributed ADCIRC-based Coastal Storm Surge, Inundation, and Wave Modeling	Brian Blanton, Renaissance Computing Institute, and Rick Luettich (Inst. of Marine Sciences, Univ. of N. Carolina at Chapel Hill)
(S2-10)	Developmental Testbed Center (DTC) Activities in Support of Transition of Research to the Operational Hurricane WRF Model	Ligia Bernardet (NOAA/GSD, CIRES/CU, DTC), Vijay Tallapragada (NOAA/EMC), Timothy Brown, (NOAA/GSD, CIRES/CU, DTC), Mrinal Biswas (NCAR), Samuel Trahan (NOAA/EMC/ IMSG), Donald Stark and Laurie Carson (NCAR)
(S2-11)	Testing and Evaluation of the GSI-Hybrid Data Assimilation and its Applications for HWRF at Developmental Testbed Center	Hui Shao and Chunhua Zhou (NCAR); Ligia Bernardet and Isidora Jankov (NOAA/ESRL); Mrinal K. Biswas (NCAR); Brian Etherton (NOAA/ESRL); Mingjing Tong (NOAA/EMC); Jeff Whitaker (NOAA/ESRL); andJohn Derber (NOAA/EMC)
(S2-12)	The Development of COAMPS-TC, Transition to Navy Operations, and Future Plans	James D. Doyle (NRL/Monterey), R. Hodur (SAIC), J. Moskaitis, S. Chen, E. Hendricks, Y. Jin, A. Reinecke, and S. Wang (NRL/Monterey)
(S2-13)	Recent Tropical Cyclone Modeling Transitions to Operations at Fleet Numerical Meteorology and Oceanography Center (FOUO so it will not be posted.)	Charles E. Skupniewicz, Carey Dickerman_,and Raymond C. Lee (Fleet Numerical Meteorology and Oceanography Center)

Session 3a: Tropical Cyclone Observations and Observation Applications, Part I
Session Leader Scott Braun (NASA/GSFC)
(S3a-01)	Hurricane and Severe Storm Sentinel (HS3): Results from the 2013 Deployment	Scott A. Braun and Paul A. Newman (NASA/GSFC)
(S3a-02)	HIWRAP Global Hawk Status and Future Plans	Gerald Heymsfield (NASA/GSFC), S.Guimond (NASA/ORAU), M. Mclinden and L. Li (NASA/GSFC), J. Carswell (Remote Sensing Solutions, and L. Tian (Morgan St. Univ)
(S3a-03)	HIWRAP Observations from the Hurricane and Severe Sentinel (HS3) Campaign: Comparing Retrieval Techniques	Anthony C. Didlake, Jr., Gerald M. Heymsfield, Lian Tian, and Stephen Guimond (NASA/GSFC)
(S3a-04)	Ensemble Kalman Filter Assimilation of HIWRAP Observations of Hurricane Karl (2010) from the Unmanned Global Hawk Aircraft	Jason A. Sippel, Fuqing Zhang, Yonghui Weng, Lin Tian, Gerald M. Heymsfield, and Scott A. Braun (NASA/GSFC)
(S3a-05)	High Definition Sounding System (HDSS) for Atmospheric Profiling	Peter Black (NRL/Monterey/SAIC); Lee Harrison (Univ of Albany/SUNY); Mark Beaubien and William Jeffries (Yankee Environmental Systems, Inc); Robert Bluth, Haflidi Jonsson, and Andrew Penny (Naval Postgraduate School); and Robert W. Smith (NASA/JSC)
(S3a-06)	Extreme Wave Height Reports from NDBC Buoys during Hurricane Sandy	Richard H. Bouchard (NOAA/NDBC), Robert E. Jensen (USACE), David W. Wang (NRL/Stennis), George Z. Forristall (Forristall Ocean Eng, Inc), Oceana P. Francis (Univ of Hawaii Manoa), and Rodney E. Riley(NOAA/NDBC)
(S3a-07)	Progress on Upper Ocean Measurement Strategies during Hurricane Passage: AXCP and AXCTD Profiling	Lynn K. Shay, Benjamin Jaimes, and Jodi K. Brewster (RSMAS/ Univ of Miami); Eric W. Uhlhorn (NOAA/HRD);and George R. Halliwell (NOAA/AOML/POD)
(S3a-08)	The AXBT Demonstration Project: Implementation, Impact, Collaboration, and Outlook	Elizabeth R. Sanabia (USNA) and Peter G. Black (NRL/Monterey/SAIC)
(S3a-09)	Upper-Ocean Thermal Structure Variability during Hurricanes Ernesto and Isaac (2012)	Ellen K. Deckinga, William J. Schulz, Elizabeth R. Sanabia, and Bradford S. Barrett (USNA)
(S3a-10)	Impact of AXBT Ocean Observations on the COAMPS Prediction of Tropical Cyclones	Sue Chen (NRL/Monterey), James Cummings (NRL/Stennis), Jerome Schmidt (NRL/Monterey), Elizabeth Sanabia and Bradford Barrett (USNA), and Peter Black (NRL/Monterey/SAIC)

Session 3b: Tropical Cyclone Observations and Observation Applications, Part II
Session Leader Robbie Hood (NOAA/OAR)
(S3b-01)	Observing Upper Ocean Structure Changes in Hurricane Conditions using Profiling Glider Technology	Walt H. McCall (NOAA/NDBC), Hyun- Sook. Kim, (NOAA/NCEP), and L. Brzuzy, (Shell Upstream Americas)
(S3b-02)	Impact of Simple Parameterizations of Coastal Upper Ocean Heat Content on Modeled Hurricane Irene (2011) Intensity	Greg Seroka, Travis Miles, Yi Xu, Oscar Schofield, and Josh Kohut (Rutgers University)
(S3b-03)	The 2013 Satellite Proving Ground at the National Hurricane Center	Mark DeMaria, Jack Beven, Michael Brennan, and Hugh Cobb (NOAA/NHC); John Knaff (NOAA/NESDIS), Andrea Schumacher (CIRA/CSU), Christopher Velden (CIMSS/UW), Jason Dunion (NOAA/HRD), Gary Jedlovec (NASA/MSFC), Kevin Fuell (Univ of Alabama, Huntsville); and Michael Folmer (UM/CICS)
(S3b-04)	Exploiting SNPP VIIRS Day Night Band (DNB) for Tropical Cyclone Monitoring	Jeff Hawkins, Jeremy Solbrig, Mindy Surratt, and Kim Richardson (NRL/Monterey), Steve Miller (CIRA), Charles Sampson (NRL/Monterey), John Kent (SAIC), and Tom Lee (NRL/Monterey)
(S3b-05)	Satellite-Derived Oceanic Heat Content Estimates in the North Pacific Ocean Basin For Typhoon Intensity Forecasts: ST Haiyan	Claire McCaskill, Lynn K. Shay, and J. K. Brewster (RSMAS/ Univ of Miami)
(S3b-06)	Forecasting Flossie: A Look at Using the Most Progressive Satellite Technology	Tom Evans (NOAA/CPHC)
(S3b-07)	Sensing Hazards with Operational Unmanned Technology (SHOUT) to Mitigate the Risk of Satellite Observing Gaps	Robbie Hood (NOAA/OAR), Michael Black (NOAA/A OML), Gary Wick (NOAA/ESRL), , Philip Kenul (TriVector Services Inc.), and John Coffey (Cherokee Nation Technologies LLC)

Session 4: Tropical Cyclone Numerical Modeling Initiatives
Session Leaders Jessie Carman (NOAA/OAR) and Vijay Tallpraganda (NCEP/EMC)
(S4-01)	Evaluation of Experimental Models for Tropical Cyclone Forecasting in Support of the NOAA Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project (HFIP)	Paul A. Kucera, Barbara G. Brown, Louisa Nance, and Christopher L. Williams (NCAR/Research Applications Laboratory)
(S4-02)	Significant Improvements in Hurricane Intensity Forecasts from NCEP/EMC Operational High-Resolution HWRF Modeling System	Vijay Tallapragada, (NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC)
(S4-03)	The Physics Suite Upgrades of the Operational HWRF Model for 2014 Implementation	Young Kwon (NOAA/EMC/IMSA), Vijay Tallapragada, and Qingfu Liu (NOAA/EMC), Zhan Zhang, Samuel Trahan, Weiguo Wang, and Chanh Kieu (NOAA/EMC/IMSG)
(S4-04)	Real-Time HWRF Forecasts for the Joint Typhoon Warning Center	Sam Trahan and Chanh Kieu (NOAA/EMC/ IMSG), Vijay Tallapragada (NOAA/EMC), Brian Strahl (JTWC), Bob Gall (NOAA/HFIP/CIMAS), Lee Cohen (NOAA/ESRL/GSD/CIRES), and Thiago Quirino (NOAA/AOML)
(S4-05)	Experimental Real-Time Forecasts for the 2012-2013 Northwestern Pacific Season with the NCEP Operational HWRF	Chanh Kieu, Vijay Tallapragada, Samuel Trahan, Zhan Zhang, Qingfu Liu, Young Kwon, Weiguo Wang, and Mingjing Tong (NOAA/NCEP/EMC)
(S4-06)	Application of Coupled HWRF-HYCOM System for the Northwestern Pacific Typhoon Prediction	Hyun-Sook Kim, Sam Trahan, Chanh Kieu and Vijay Tallapragada (NOAA/NCEP/EMC/Marine Modeling and Analysis Branch)
(S4-07)	HWRF-based Ensemble Prediction System using Perturbations from GEFS and Stochastic Convective Trigger Function	Zhan Zhang (NOAA/NCEP/EMC/IMSG), Vijay Tallapragada (NOAA/NCEP/EMC), Chanh Kieu, Samuel Trahan, and Weiguo Wang (NOAA/NCEP /EMC/IMSG)
(S4-08)	Coastal Storm Modeling System (CSTORM-MS)	Chris Massey (USACE Engineer Research and Development Center/Coastal & Hydraulics Laboratory)
(S4-09)	Verification of Tropical Cyclone Genesis Prediction in a Suite of Operational Global Numerical Weather Prediction Models	Mike Fiorino (NOAA/Earth System Research Lab)
(S4-10)	New Challenges and Expectations of Dynamical Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclones	Jan-Huey Chen and Shian-Jiann Lin (NOAA/GFDL)

Session 5: Research Priorities of the Operational Centers
Session Leaders James Franklin (NOAA/NWS/NHC) and Jason Dunion (NOAA/AOML/HRD)
(S5-01)	Multi Lead-time Statistical Rapid Intensification Guidance	John Kaplan (NOAA/HRD), Christopher M. Rozoff (CIMSS/UW-Madison), Charles R. Sampson (NRL), James P. Kossin (NOAA/NCDC), Christopher S. Velden (CIMSS/UW-Madison), and Mark DeMaria (NOAA/NESDIS/NHC)
(S5-02)	Real-Time Verification of a Passive Microwave Imagery-Based Statistical Model of Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification	Christopher M. Rozoff and Christopher Velden (CIMSS/UW-Madison), John Kaplan (NOAA/HRD), Anthony J. Wimmers (CIMSS/UW-Madison), and James P. Kossin (CIMSS/UW-Madison/NOAA/NCDC)
(S5-03)	Tropical Cyclone Genesis Ensemble Forecasts	Jiayi Peng (NOAA/NCEP/EMC/IMSG), Yuejian Zhu (NOAA/NCEP/EMC), and Richard Wobus (NOAA/NCEP/EMC/IMSG)
(S5-04)	Analysis Tools for Online Evaluation of the Operational Hurricane Forecasts Using Satellite Data	Svetla M. Hristova-Veleva (NASA/JPL), Mark Boothe (NPS), S. Gopalakrishnan (NOAA/HRD), Ziad Haddad, Brian Knosp, Bjorn Lambrigtsen, and Peggy Li (NASA/JPL), Michael Montgomery (NPS), Noppasin Niamsuwan (NASA/JPL), Vijay Tallapragada (NOAA/EMC), Simone Tanelli and Joseph Turk (NASA/JPL), and Tomislava Vukicevic (NOAA/HRD)
(S5-05)	Outer Vortex Wind Structure Changes during and following Tropical Cyclone Secondary Eyewall Formation in the Atlantic	Robert A. Stenger and Russell L. Elsberry (Naval Postgraduate School)
(S5-06)	MDL Research for Hurricane Storm Surge	Amy Fritz and Arthur Taylor (NOAA/NWS/MDL); Bobby Louansaysongkham, Huiqing Liu, Ryan Schuster, and Dongming Yang (NOAA/NWS/ MDL/Ace Info Solutions, Inc.); and Jindong Wang (NOAA/NOS/Coast Survey Development Laboratory/Earth Resources Technology, Inc.)
(S5-07)	Rapid Evaluation of Hurricane-driven Storm Surge using Pre-computed ADCIRC Solutions	Rick Luettich (Institute of Marine Sciences, Univ. of North Carolina-Chapel Hill), Brian Blanton and Jesse Bikman (Renaissance Computing Institute, Univ. of North Carolina-Chapel Hill), and Alex Taflanidis and Andrew Kennedy (Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Earth Sciences, Univ. of Notre Dame)

Session 6: Applications of Social Science to Tropical Cyclone Forecasts and Warnings
Session Leader Bryan Norcross (The Weather Channel)
(S6-01)	Enhancing the Timeliness of Tropical Cyclone Watches and Warnings: Issuance of Watches/Warnings Prior to Genesis	Daniel P. Brown, Todd Kimberlain, James Franklin, Ed Rappaport, and Rick Knabb (NOAA/NHC)
(S6-02)	Progress over the Past Five Years on a Hurricane Surge Visualization Model and Future Plans to use the Model to Assess Public Understanding of Risks due to Storm Surge	B. Lee Lindner, Stephen Duke, and Janet Johnson (Physics and Astronomy Department, College of Charleston) and Frank Alsheimer and Robert Bright (NOAA/NWS/Charleston SC)
(S6-03)	Improving Local Hurricane Forecast Communication	Betty Hearn Morrow (SocResearch Miami) Linda Girardi, Gina Eosco, Stephanie Fauver, Chris Ellis, and Vankita Brown
(S6-04)	Linking New Technology and User Behavior	Brenda Philips (Univ. of Massachusetts, Amherst)

Hagemeyer Award Presentation

--2014--

Mr. John Pavone

Dr. Jim McFadden--2013
Mr. Jeff Hawkins--2012
Dr. Peter G. Black -- 2011

Dr. Jim Goerss --2010

Dr. Mark DeMaria --2009

Mr. Robert Dumont--2008

Mr. Charles J. “Charlie” Neumann--2007

Dr. Joanne Simpson--2006

Dr. Frank D. Marks, Jr.--2005

Mr. Max Mayfield--2004

Mr. Chris Velden--2003

Prof. Russell Elsberry--2002

Invited Presentation

(I-01)

Real-Time Geospatial Sharing Between Agencies—An Update

Dave Jones (StormCenter Communications)

Final Plenary Session
Session Moderator John Murphy (NOAA/NWS)
	Summary of Assessment Results—Agency Perspectives Panelists: · John Cortinas (NOAA/OAR) and Frank Marks (NOAA/AOML/HRD) · Ron Ferek (Navy/ONR) · Michael C. Morgan (NSF) · Ramesh Kakar (NASA)
	WG/HWSOR Meeting Action Item Review	Edward Rappaport (NCEP/NHC) Chair, WG/HWSOR
	Final Wrap-up	Mr. Samuel P. Williamson Federal Coordinator for Meteorology