65th
Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference |
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Ocean and
Atmospheric Influences on Tropical Cyclone Predictions: |
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Opening Session | |||
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The
Honorable Carlos Alvarez Mayor, Miami-Dade County, Florida |
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Mr.
Samuel P. Williamson Federal Coordinator |
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Major
Phillip May Director, FEMA Region IV |
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Panel: Advances in Tropical Cyclone Predictions: A Senior Leader Perspective | |||
Moderators: | |||
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Panelists: | |||
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Session 1: Comparisons of the 2008 and 2010 Snapshots of Tropical Cyclone R & D | |||
Session Leader: | |||
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Panelists: | |||
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Session 2: The 2010 Tropical Cyclone Season in Review | |||
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Eric
Blake (NCEP/NHC) and J. Beven |
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John
P. Cangialosi (NCEP/NHC) and S. Stewart |
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James
Franklin (NHC) |
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Raymond
Tanabe (NWS/CPHC) |
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Robert
J. Falvey (JTWC) |
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Capt
Douglas Gautrau (53rd WRS) and Maj Kait McLaughlin |
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James
D. McFadden (NOAA AOC), N. Ash, J. Parrish, P. Flaherty, A. Barry Damiano,
I. Sears, J. Williams, and R. Henning |
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Invited
Presentations |
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Session 3: Observations and Observing Strategies for Tropical Cyclones and their Environment, Part 1 | |||
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Bjorn
Lambrigtsen (JPL, California Institute of Technology) and S. Brown |
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Andrea
Schumacher (CIRA), M. DeMaria, J. Knaff, L. Zhao, and T. Schott |
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Jack
Beven (NCEP/NHC), M. Brennan, M. DeMaria, J. Knaff, C. Velden, and J.
Dunion |
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Timothy
L. Miller (NASA Marshall Space Flight Center), M. W. James, W. L. Jones,
C. S. Ruf, E. W. Uhlhorn, C. D. Buckley, S. Biswas, G. Shah, and R. E.
Hood |
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Ivan
PopStefanija (ProSensing) and E. J. Walsh |
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Michael
Black (AOML/HRD), R. Hood, R. Atlas, F. Marks, S. Koch, R. Rogers, J.
Cione, E. Uhlhorn, C. Landsea, G. Wick, Y. Xie, P. Hall, N. Ash, and P.
Eastman |
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Michael
S. Grant (NASA Langley Research Center), S. J. Katzberg, and J. P. Dunion |
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Session 4: Observations and Observing Strategies for Tropical Cyclones and their Environment, Part 2 | |||
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Lynn
K. Shay (RSMAS/UM), B. Jaimes, J. K. Brewster, P. Meyers, C. McCaskill,
S. Paul, E. W. Uhlhorn, F. D. Marks, and G. R. Halliwell |
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Gerald
Heymsfield (NASA Goddard Space Flight Center), L. Li, J. Carswell, M.
Mclinden, M. Perrine, L. Tian, A. Reynolds, and S. Guimond |
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Justyna
Nicinska (NOAA/OAR), R. B. Chadwick, and R. Johnson |
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Dan
Berkowitz (Radar Operations Center) |
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W.
David Zittel (Radar Operations Center), Z. Jing, and N. Langlieb |
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Michael
W. Douglas (NOAA/OAR/NSSL) |
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Robert
R. Mason (USGS), W. Birkemeier, D. Catlett, W. Coulbourne, R. R. Holmes,
A. Ramirez, W. Shaffer, and D. Turnipseed |
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Session 5: Tropical Cyclone Model Development and Technology Transfer, Part 1 | |||
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Vijay
Tallapragada (NCEP/EMC) |
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Robert
E. Tuleya (CCPO/ODU), Y. Kwon, V. Tallapragada, Z. Zhang, Y. Wu, Q. Liu,
and J. O’Connor |
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Young
Kwon (NCEP/EMC), V. Tallaparagada, R. Tuleya, Q. Liu, K. Yeh, Z. Zhang,
S. Trahan, and J. O’Connor |
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Morris
A. Bender (NOAA/GFDL) , I. Ginis, B. Thomas, and R. Yablonsky |
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James
Doyle (NRL), R. Hodur, S. Chen, J. Cummings, E. Hendricks, T. Holt, H.
Jin, Y. Jin, C.-S. Liou, J. Moskaitis, M. Peng, K. Sashegyi, J. Schmidt,
and S. Wang |
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Isaac
Ginis (URI), B. Thomas, R. Yablonsky, T. Hara, J. Bao, C. Fairall, and
L. Bianco |
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Lynn
K. Shay (RSMAS/UM), G. R. Halliwell, and B. Jaimes |
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Session 6: Tropical Cyclone Model Development and Technology Transfer, Part 2 | |||
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James
S. Goerss (NRL) |
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Piers
Buchanan (Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom ) and K. Mylne |
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Kerry
Emanuel (Massachusetts Institute of Technology), R. Hoffman, S. Hopsch,
D. Gombos, and T. Nehrkorn |
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Timothy
Marchok (NOAA/GFDL) and M. Bender |
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Zhan
Zhang (NCEP/EMC), V. Tallapragada, R. Tuleya, Q. Liu, Y. Kwon, S. Trahan,
J. O’Connor, and W. M. Lapenta |
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Mike
Fiorino (NOAA/ESRL) |
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Sharanya
J. Majumdar (RSMAS/UM), R. D. Torn, and F. Zhang |
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Session 7: Tropical Cyclone Model Development and Technology Transfer, Part 3 | |||
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Ligia
Bernardet (NOAA/ESRL), S. Bao, C. Harrop, D. Stark, and T. Brown |
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Louisa
Nance (NCAR), C. Williams, M. Harrold, K. Newman, P. Kucera, and B. Brown |
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Sundararaman.G.Gopalakrishnan
(AOML/HRD), F. Marks, and V. Tallapragada |
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Sam
Trahan (NCEP/EMC), V. Tallapragada, S.G.Gopalakrishnan, and X. Zhang |
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Yuqing
Wang (University of Hawaii) |
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Jian-Wen
Bao (NOAA/ESRL), S. A. Michelson, and S.G.Gopalakrishnan |
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Robert
Rogers (AOML/HRD), P. Reasor, S. Lorsolo, and J. Zhang |
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Jun
Zhang (UM/CIMAS and NOAA/ HRD), R. Rogers, D. Nolan, and F. Marks |
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Session 8: 2010 Joint Hurricane Field Experiments: PREDICT, GRIP, and IFEX (PGI) | |||
Moderator: | |||
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PGI:
Program Overview and Goals |
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Dr.
Ramesh K. Kakar, Weather Focus Area Leader for the NASA/Science Mission
Directorate |
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Dr.
Michael C. Morgan, Director, Division of Atmospheric and Geospace Sciences
(NSF) |
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Dr.
Frank Marks, Director, Hurricane Research Division, NOAA/AOML |
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PGI
Field Observations and Preliminary Findings |
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Dr.
Edward Zipser, Professor, Atmospheric Sciences, University of Utah |
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Dr.
Michael Montgomery, Professor, Department of Meteorology, Naval Postgraduate
School |
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Dr.
Robert Rogers (NOAA/AOML/HRD) |
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Session 9: ITOP/TCS-10: Coupled Air-Sea Observations and TC Predictions | |||
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Linwood
Vincent (ONR) |
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Eric
A. D’Asaro (U. of Washington) |
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Shuyi
S. Chen (RSMAS/UM), B. Kerns, E. Ryan, and C. Lee |
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Jan
Morzel (Rosetta Consulting), L. Centurioni, and P.P Niiler |
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Jeff
Hawkins (NRL), P. Black, P. Harr, and R. Elsberry |
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Peter
G. Black (NRL/SAIC) and J. D. Hawkins |
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Sue
Chen (NRL), J. Doyle, R. Hodur, H. Jin, J. Cummings, and J. Schmidt |
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Brandon
Kerns (RSMAS/UM), S. Chen, and C. Lee |
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Session 10: Other Research to Improve the Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Structure, Track, Precipitation, Coastal and Inland Inundation, Part 1 | |||
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Scott
A. Braun (NASA/GSFC), P. A. Newman, M. Vasques |
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Shirley
T. Murillo (AOML/HRD) |
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Elizabeth
A. Ritchie (University of Arizona), M. Piñeros, J. Scott Tyo, and
G. Valliere-Kelley |
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James
Carswell (Remote Sensing Solutions) and D. Moller |
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Svetla
Hristova-Veleva (JPL, California Institute of Technology), S. Gopalakrishnan,
T. Vukicevic, Z. Haddad, and T. Quirino |
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Anthony
Wimmers (UW-CIMSS), C. Velden |
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Tom
Murphree (Naval Postgraduate School) and D. Meyer |
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Conference Banquet | |||
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Mr.
Scott B. Gudes Vice President, Legislative Affairs Space Systems & Operations Lockheed Martin Corporation |
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Presentation
of the Richard Hagemeyer Award |
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Dr.
Peter G. Black -- 2011 |
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Invited
Presentations |
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Session 11: Other Research to Improve the Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Structure, Track, Precipitation, Coastal and Inland Inundation, Part 2 | |||
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Kenneth
R. Knapp (NOAA/NCDC), H. Diamond, E. Gibney, P. Hennon, and M. Kruk |
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Jason
P. Dunion (RSMAS/UM and AOML/HRD) and G. Tripoli |
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John
A. Knaff (NOAA/NESDIS/ STAR), M. DeMaria, K. Musgrave, J. Kaplan, C. Rozoff,
J. Kossin, and C. Velden |
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Christopher
M. Rozoff (UW-CIMSS), J. Kossin, C. Velden, A. Wimmers, M. Kieper, J.
Kaplan, J. Knaff, and M. DeMaria |
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Haiyan
Jiang (FIU), M. Kieper, T. Yuan, E. Zipser, and J. Kaplan |
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Tie
Yuan (FIU), H. Jiang, and M. Kieper |
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Session 12: Joint Hurricane Testbed Project Updates and Improved Products | |||
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Jiann-Gwo
Jiing (Joint Hurricane Testbed), C. Landsea and S. Murillo |
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John
Kaplan (AOML/HRD), J. Cione, M. DeMaria, J. Knaff, J. Dunion, J. Solbrig,
J. Hawkins, T. Lee, E. Kalina, J. Zhang, J. Dostalek, and P. Leighton |
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Michael
L. Black (AOML/HRD), C. Martin, P. Flaherty, J. Almeida, and J. Latham |
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Mark
DeMaria (NOAA/NESDIS), R. DeMaria, A. Schumacher, D. Brown, M. Brennan,
R. Knabb, P. Santos, D. Sharp, J. Knaff, and S. Kidder |
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Jim
Kossin (NOAA/NCDC and CIMSS), M. Sitkowski, and C. Rozoff |
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Charles
R. Sampson (NRL), A. Schrader, E. Serra, P. Wittmann, H. Tolman, C. Sisko,
C. Lauer, J. Schauer, J. Knaff, M. DeMaria, and A. Schumacher |
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Sang-Ki
Lee (AOML and CIMSS) and C. Wang |
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JRich
Blakeslee (NASA), M. Goodman, J. Hall, M. He, P. Meyer, M. Garrett, K.
Regner, H. Conover, and T. Smith |
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Final Plenary Session | |||
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Dr.
Edward Rappaport (NHC) Chairperson, WG/HWSOR |
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Mr.
Samuel P. Williamson Federal Coordinator |
Posters For
The 65th Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference |
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P01 |
Real-Time
Radar Processing in the 2010 Hurricane Season and Plans for 2011 |
John
F. Gamache (AOML/HRD) |
P02 |
Real-Time
Transmission of NOAA Tail Doppler Radar Data |
James
Carswell (Remote Sensing Solutions), P. Chang,
M. Mainelli, and J. Hill |
P03 |
Improved
Hurricane-Force Surface Winds and Rain Rate Retrievals with the Stepped
Frequency Microwave Radiometer |
James
Carswell (Remote Sensing Solutions), P. Chang,
Z. Jelenak, and S. Frasier |
P04 |
Collocated ASOS and WSR-88D Depict Collapsing Core
and Maximum Wind Gust at |
Keith
G. Blackwell ( |
P05 |
Wide
Swath Radar Altimeter (WSRA) Wave Spectra from Hurricane Ike compared
with WaveWatch
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Ivan PopStefanija (ProSensing) and E. Walsh |
P06 |
Storm
Surge Measurement Potential of the Wide Swath Radar Altimeter |
Ivan PopStefanija (ProSensing) and E. Walsh |
P07 |
Direct
Interpretation of COSMIC Refractivity Data in the Tropical Cyclone Environment |
Christopher
M. Hill ( |
P08 |
Peter G. Black (SAIC/NRL) and I-I Lin |
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P09 |
Coupled
Air-Sea Observations in Tropical Cyclones during ITOP/TCS10 |
Chiaying Lee (RSMAS/UM) and S. S. Chen |
P10 |
Coming
Soon: AMSU in GEO |
Bjorn
Lambrigtsen (NASA JPL) |
P11 |
Assimilating COSMIC |
Keren Rosado
( |
P12 |
Sensitivity of Air-Ocean-Wave
Coupling on the Prediction of Hurricane Frances and Ivan |
Sue Chen (NRL), T. Smith, S. Gaberšek, T. Campbell,
S. Wang, J. Doyle, and R. Allard |
P13 |
Developing
an |
Richard
Yablonsky ( |
P14 |
Spatial Verification
of Tropical Cyclone Model Track and Intensity Forecasts |
Timothy Marchok
(NOAA/GFDL) and A. Alpert |
P15 |
Improving Ocean Model
Performance in Coupled Hurricane Forecasts through Improved Initialization |
George R. Halliwell
(NOAA/AOML), L. Shay, D. Willey, J. Brewster, B. Jaimes,
and G. Goni |
P16 |
Validation of Coupled
Hurricane Atmosphere–Ocean Model (HyHWRF) |
Hyun-Sook
Kim (NCEP/ |
P17 |
HWRF Model Diagnostic Improvements |
Janna O’Connor (NCEP/ |
P18 |
Evaluating Experimental
Models for Tropical Cyclone Forecasting in Support of the Hurricane Forecast
Improvement Project (HFIP) |
Paul A. Kucera
(NCAR), B. Brown, L. Nance, C. Williams, K. Crosby, and M. Harrold |
P19 |
A Highly Configurable Vortex Initialization Method for Tropical Cyclones |
Eric D. Rappin
(RSMAS/UM), D. Nolan, and |
P20 |
Diagnosis of Operational
Model Track Forecast Error for Hurricane Ike (2008) |
Michael J. Brennan (NCEP/ |
P21 |
An Update on the Status
of FNMOC Projects to Improve Tropical Cyclone Forecasting |
Carey
Dickerman (FNMOC), P. Wittmann,
B. Sampson, and B. Ruston |
P22 |
Improving the Assimilation of High-Resolution Satellite Wind Data into
Mesoscale Prediction Models |
Ting-Chi
Wu (RSMAS/UM), H. Liu, C. Velden, S. Majumdar, and J. Anderson |
P23 |
Diagnosing Initial Condition
Sensitivity of Typhoon Sinlaku (2008) and Hurricane
Ike (2008) |
William A. Komaromi
(RSMAS/UM), S. Majumdar, and E. Rappin |
P24 |
Craig
Mattocks (RSMAS/UM) and V. Wood |
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P25 |
Objective Diagnosis of
the Eyewall Replacement Cycle in Mature Tropical
Cyclones |
Elizabeth R. Sanabia
(U.S Naval Academy) and N. Celone |
P26 |
Climatology of |
Cheng
Tao (FIU) and H. Jiang |
P27 |
Quantitative Comparison
of Precipitation Algorithms in Tropical Cyclones |
Joseph P. Zagrodnik
(FIU) and H. Jiang |
P28 |
Numerical Studies of
Lower Boundary Forcing on Tropical Storm Fay (2008) over |
Travis L. Washington ( |
P29 |
Vertical Wind Shear Impacts
on Hurricane Structure Deduced from Airborne-Doppler and HWRF Databases |
Paul Reasor
(NOAA/AOML/HRD), R. Rogers, S.
Lorsolo, S. Gopalakrishnan, J.
Gamache, and F. Marks |
P30 |
Is
Hurricane Rapid Intensification Possible from the Energy Released Inside
of a Convective Burst? |
Owen A. Kelley ( |
P31 |
Hurricanes: Science and
Society – An Online Resource Collaboratively Developed by Scientists,
Education and Outreach Professionals, and Educators |
Isaac Ginis
( |
P32 |
The Influence of Cyclones
on the BP Oil Spill |
Pat Fitzpatrick ( |
P33 |
SATellite Intensity CONsensus (SATCON) Evaluation and Recent Changes |
Derrick Herndon (UW-CIMSS) and
C. Velden |
P34 |
A Methodology for Incorporating
Hurricane Forecast Errors into Decision-Support Systems for Energy and
Utility Companies |
Andrea Schumacher (CIRA) and S.
M. Quiring |
P35 |
What Might a Global TC
Reanalysis Project Look Like? |
Paula
Ann Hennon ( |
P36 |
Getting the Surge Message
Across |
Betty Hearn Morrow (SocResearch), J. Lazo, and J.
Rhome |