Nearly
two-thirds of the U.S. population lives in urban areas occupying less
than two percent of the U.S. landmass. America’s vulnerability
to severe weather and hazards related to air quality, water quality,
atmospheric dispersion of dangerous materials, and climatic variations
are rising as the urban proportion of the population increases.
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$11 billion in damages per year occur from hurricanes, tornadoes,
floods and other severe weather.
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Adverse weather adds to the cost of highway congestion, which now
averages $78 billion a year in lost time and wasted fuel.
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Emergency response plans require real-time decisions about evacuations
affecting thousands of households in a single incident.
To manage
these and other risks to public safety, health, and property, urban
leaders and managers are demanding more accurate and specific weather
and climate information for use in their decision processes. Urban meteorology—a
specialized, interdisciplinary approach to studying the natural environmental
interactions with urban communities—provides an integrated response
to these demands for better, more useful information.
Three factors
have come together to make this the right time to address key issues
in urban meteorology. First, technological advances in remote sensing
and other observing platforms have made urban observations on the subregional
scale possible. The evolution of coupled computer models linking processes
in the atmosphere, soil, ocean, and biosphere at smaller grid scales
has improved the ability to use these observations to assess and predict
more accurately the state of the urban environment. Second, recent national
and international events have heightened attention to potential acts
of terrorism, particularly in urban centers with large populations.
Chemical, biological, radiological, or nuclear (CBRN) releases, whether
intentional or accidental, threaten public health and safety and can
contaminate our air, water, and soil. The atmospheric transport and
diffusion (ATD) models, to prepare for such emergencies and respond
to them, depend upon other urban meteorology inputs. The ATD models
are themselves an important component of our total technological capability
in urban meteorology. Third, concerns for public health and safety include
but extend beyond atmospheric dispersion of hazardous substances. The
health problems associated with the extreme forms of urban weather and
climate can threaten survival, as exemplified by the record heat wave
that scorched Europe in August 2003, claiming an estimated 35,000 lives.
Lesser degrees of weather extremes or even benign periods of weather
can be insidious or cumulative in their affects on overall public health.
For example, pollutants affect the quality of the air we breathe and
the water we drink.
Urban Meteorology as a Priority for Federal Agency
Coordination
Involvement of the Office of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorology
(OFCM) in urban meteorology dates from September 1998. At that time,
the Federal Coordinator identified it as a priority for Federal agency
coordination under the auspices of the Federal Committee for Meteorological
Services and Supporting Research (FCMSSR). Federal activities in urban
meteorology were then focused on air quality. The OFCM subsequently
broadened that focus to include ATD modeling as a tool for understanding
urban air quality issues, as well as airborne hazards in the event of
accidental releases of hazardous materials.

The terrorist
attacks on America in September 2001 gave a new urgency to the need
for ATD modeling in the event of a deliberate attack using chemical,
biological, radiological, or nuclear weapons of mass destruction. In
August 2002, the OFCM-sponsored Joint Action Group for the Selection
and Evaluation of Atmospheric Transport and Diffusion Models (JAG/SEATD)
published its report, Atmospheric Modeling from Weapons of Mass Destruction:
Response by Federal Agencies in Support of Homeland Security. At its
October 2002 meeting, the FCMSSR assigned an action to the Federal Coordinator
and the Interdepartmental Committee for Meteorological Services and
Supporting Research (ICMSSR) to plan and conduct an interagency forum
on ATD modeling capabilities. This forum was to address the state of
science, identify priorities and issues for needed research and development,
develop model evaluation procedures, and plan for field studies. The
forum would bring the Federal agencies together with representatives
of user communities, academia, and the private sector. After the Department
of Homeland Security was established, it joined the ATD modeling activities
as a lead player within the OFCM Federal coordinating infrastructure.
The Challenges in Urban Meteorology Forum is being presented through
a partnership of the Department of Homeland Security, Science and Technology
Directorate, and OFCM.
Another
driver for broadening the scope of this forum was the report by the
10th Prospectus Development Team of the U.S. Weather Research Program,
Forecast Issues in the Urban Zone. This report tied research and development
requirements in crosscutting areas of meteorology to a general assessment
of urban users’ needs. A third driver was the detailed compilation
of user needs performed under the Joint Action Group for Weather Information
for Surface Transportation (JAG/WIST) and published in 2002 as Weather
Information for Surface Transportation: National Needs Assessment Report.
This report identified the needs of urban transportation system managers
and users for timely and accurate weather information. The Challenges
in Urban Meteorology Forum will also address issues and recommendations
identified in the National Research Council report, The Atmospheric
Sciences, Entering the Twenty-First Century.

Scope
of the Urban Meteorology User Forum
The focus areas for the forum are severe weather, homeland security,
air quality, water quality, and climate.
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Severe weather in urbanized areas includes major winter storms, hurricanes,
flash flooding associated with locally heavy precipitation, regional
flooding along waterways, periods of extreme high or low temperature,
and tornadoes.
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Homeland security issues relate to the dispersion of hazardous materials
by ATD and waterborne transport. The density of population in urban
communities and the effects of urban topography on the local windfield
combine to make accurate fine-scale prediction of plume movement and
concentration essential but extremely difficult. Modeling and observational
capabilities necessary to support planning for or responding to a
deliberate attack with a weapon of mass destruction can also support
the urban community in the event of an accidental release of a hazardous
material or a natural disaster.

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Air quality is affected by atmospheric pollutants resulting from human
activities, including the effects of these pollutants on naturally
occurring airborne substances. Urban traffic and the local, fine-scale
effects of the constructed environment on air movement can exacerbate
the impact of air pollutants on human health. Urban communities not
only suffer from poor air quality; they are also a major source of
air pollution problems in downwind rural and natural ecosystems.
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Water quality is affected by the role of the atmosphere and precipitation
in the Earth’s water cycle. Many airborne pollutants eventually
are washed out of the air and may be transported in surface or ground
waters. Normal and extreme precipitation events affect the load of
contaminants carried into urban water supplies and the load of contaminants
carried away from urban communities as storm drainage and sewage.

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Climate issues for urban communities include the effects of natural
variations in climate cycles, such as the oceanic oscillations, and
of anthropogenic influences on climate. For urban meteorology, the
local and regional variations in seasonal conditions and weather patterns
are critical for long-term planning and management of urban systems,
including water supply, transportation, energy supply, and public
health.
Cutting
across all of the focus areas are the capabilities of urban meteorology
and information communication needed to provide urban decision makers—from
service system managers to business and political leaders, to the general
public—with timely and useful information. Among the crosscutting
issues identified for the Challenges in forum are:
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Regional ecosystem planning and management (e.g., urban impacts of
wildfires, waterway and coastal pollution impacts on aquatic/marine
systems, regional air and water quality issues)
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Research and technology tools, including models to predict weather
conditions, ATD, and climate variations on local to regional scales
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The integrated observation systems to support and validate these models,
as well as to provide data on current conditions to users
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Education, outreach, and training for the entire range of current
and potential users of urban environmental data
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Risk management and risk communication for time scales ranging from
emergency preparedness (rapid response) and severe weather (intermediate
time scales) to seasonal and generational climate fluctuations (long-term
planning)
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Public health and safety, including immediate and longer term health
effects
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Information dissemination and interpretation technologies, systems,
and interfaces to move data efficiently from source to appropriate
users, in useful formats
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Surface transportation
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Business continuity planning.
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